Industry: N/A | Current Spot Price: $495.54
Moats, margins, and financial health stress-test index.
Risk level of value trap traps, structural declines, or debt strain.
Consensus fair value margin of safety across all active models.
| Valuation Model Variant | Price Target | Upside / Downside% | Model Confidence% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Power Value | $33.09 | -93.32% | 68.1% |
| Bayesian DCF | $54.95 | -88.91% | 67.5% |
| Markov DDM | $13.31 | -96.17% | 15.0% |
| Dynamic Net Asset Value | $20.03 | -95.96% | 54.8% |
| First Chicago | $114.50 | -76.89% | 59.0% |
| EROIC Spread Model | $78.71 | -84.12% | 63.2% |
| Machine Learning RIV | $65.18 | -86.85% | 54.8% |
| Regime Cross model | $42.02 | -91.52% | 46.4% |
| Sentiment SOTP | $40.58 | -91.81% | 46.4% |
| CUCE Ensemble Model | $90.46 | -81.74% | 4.3% |
| FTNN Topology Model | $377.75 | -23.77% | 10.9% |
| RCMH-DCF Variant | $87.66 | -82.31% | 54.8% |
Determining if Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is worth buying in 2026 requires contrasting its current market spot price of $495.54 with our fundamental intrinsic value targets. Our quantitative models suggest that the consensus fair value upside for AMD sits at -76.7% across active valuation models. If you prioritize conservative baseline asset capitalizations, the zero-growth Earnings Power Value (EPV) floor of $33.09 represents a strong baseline safety net. On the other hand, the 10,000-simulation Bayesian DCF target of $54.95 reflects the fair value accounting for margin progression and long-term cash flow compound potential.
With a Quality of Company (QOC) score of 9.83/10 and a Value Trap Score of 13.0/100, AMD's financial risk metrics provide deep structural insights. A Value Trap Score of 13.0/100 suggests that the company is currently safely insulated from immediate financial distress, operational structural decline, or a permanent loss of capital, debt distress, or structural operational decline. Meanwhile, the durable moat score (QOC) of 9.83/10 indicates the level of physical, structural, or brand competitive advantage the company retains. At $495.54, the margin of safety should be carefully compared to these fundamental indicators.